Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturepupaadult
codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2007


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2007 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 1% egg hatch, 29% moth flight 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 3% egg hatch, 58% moth flight 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 10% egg hatch, 83% moth flight 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 20% egg hatch, 91% moth flight 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 50% egg hatch, 97% moth flight 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 75% egg hatch, 99% moth flight 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1st gen: 95% egg hatch, 2nd gen: 3% moth flight 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 5% moth flight 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 5% egg hatch, 18% moth flight 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 30% egg hatch, 74% moth flight 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 50% egg hatch, 89% moth flight 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 75% egg hatch, 96% moth flight 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen: 90% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 7% moth flight 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen: 97% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 35% moth flight 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen: 13% egg hatch, 56% moth flight 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen: 56% egg hatch, 79% moth flight ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2016 MF25352 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Gawith Gala OR Lat:45.9689 Long:-118.4081 Elev:879 mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 10 74.60 50.10 0.00 12.35 12.3 * START *Vx Vn 4 11 76.60 47.70 0.00 12.43 24.8 Vx Vn 4 12 67.60 51.10 0.00 9.35 34.1 Vx Vn 4 13 64.50 45.20 0.00 5.89 40.0 Vx Vn 4 14 63.60 44.00 0.00 5.26 45.3 Vx Vn 4 15 65.80 45.50 0.00 6.57 51.8 Vx Vn 4 16 71.00 38.50 0.00 7.77 59.6 Vx Vn 4 17 76.30 38.30 0.00 10.15 69.8 Vx Vn 4 18 80.00 42.80 0.00 12.77 82.5 Vx Vn 4 19 82.90 45.60 0.00 14.90 97.4 Vx Vn 4 20 85.30 45.30 0.00 15.99 113.4 Vx Vn 4 21 78.70 53.20 0.00 15.95 129.4 Vx Vn 4 22 77.30 54.70 0.00 16.00 145.4 Vx Vn 4 23 70.90 52.90 0.00 11.90 157.3 Vx Vn 4 24 66.20 48.20 0.00 7.44 164.7 Vx Vn 4 25 65.50 42.10 0.00 5.82 170.5 Vx Vn 4 26 65.80 42.60 0.00 6.04 176.6 Vx Vn 4 27 61.30 49.50 0.00 5.44 182.0 Vx Vn 4 28 70.70 49.70 0.00 10.21 192.2 Vx Vn 4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 4.30 196.5 Vx Vn 4 30 67.80 47.90 0.00 8.14 204.7 Vx Vn 5 1 77.90 41.40 0.00 11.47 216.2 Vx Vn 5 2 85.00 47.20 0.00 16.43 232.6 Vx Vn 1st generation: 1% egg hatch, 29% moth flight 5 3 68.60 45.70 0.00 7.96 240.5 Hx Hn 5 4 68.90 45.90 0.00 8.15 248.7 Hx Hn 5 5 69.20 46.20 0.00 8.37 257.0 Hx Hn 5 6 77.60 53.40 0.00 15.50 272.5 Vx Vn 5 7 82.70 52.50 0.00 17.60 290.1 Vx Vn 5 8 78.20 54.50 0.00 16.35 306.5 Vx Vn 5 9 65.50 47.50 0.00 6.90 313.4 Vx Vn 5 10 76.80 41.20 0.00 10.91 324.3 Vx Vn 5 11 82.70 46.30 0.00 15.01 339.3 Vx Vn 5 12 86.00 63.10 0.00 24.55 363.9 Vx Vn 1st generation: 3% egg hatch, 58% moth flight 5 13 83.10 48.40 0.00 15.90 379.8 Vx Vn 5 14 67.90 54.40 0.00 11.15 390.9 Vx Vn 5 15 58.70 52.20 0.00 5.45 396.4 Vx Vn 5 16 72.00 52.40 0.00 12.20 408.6 Vx Vn 5 17 78.30 49.80 0.00 14.06 422.6 Vx Vn 5 18 83.50 56.50 0.00 20.00 442.6 Vx Vn 5 19 67.00 49.90 0.00 8.45 451.1 Vx Vn 5 20 62.30 42.20 0.00 4.40 455.5 Vx Vn 5 21 64.30 47.50 0.00 6.32 461.8 Vx Vn 1st generation: 10% egg hatch, 83% moth flight 5 22 67.90 52.60 0.00 10.25 472.0 Vx Vn 5 23 70.40 52.00 0.00 11.20 483.2 Vx Vn 5 24 73.00 52.00 0.00 12.50 495.7 Vx Vn 5 25 78.50 51.70 0.00 15.10 510.8 Vx Vn 5 26 70.70 53.10 0.00 11.90 522.7 Vx Vn 5 27 67.40 50.80 0.00 9.10 531.8 Vx Vn 5 28 75.30 49.10 0.00 12.27 544.1 Vx Vn 1st generation: 20% egg hatch, 91% moth flight 5 29 78.40 55.30 0.00 16.85 561.0 Vx Vn 5 30 76.30 49.30 0.00 12.85 573.8 Vx Vn 5 31 84.80 47.10 0.00 16.29 590.1 Vx Vn 6 1 85.30 54.00 0.00 19.65 609.7 Vx Vn 6 2 76.80 64.20 0.00 20.50 630.2 Vx Vn 6 3 86.40 58.90 0.00 22.65 652.9 Vx Vn 6 4 94.10 54.00 0.00 23.02 675.9 Vx Vn 1st generation: 50% egg hatch, 97% moth flight 6 5 95.60 59.00 0.00 25.80 701.7 Vx Vn 6 6 99.40 67.30 0.00 30.35 732.1 Vx Vn 6 7 98.30 69.00 0.00 30.95 763.0 Vx Vn 1st generation: 75% egg hatch, 99% moth flight 6 8 86.00 64.60 0.00 25.30 788.3 Vx Vn 6 9 78.50 58.40 0.00 18.45 806.8 Vx Vn 6 10 70.00 54.40 0.00 12.20 819.0 Vx Vn 6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 11.05 830.0 Vx Vn 6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 13.96 844.0 Vx Vn 6 13 74.90 58.40 0.00 16.65 860.6 Vx Vn 6 14 68.70 51.60 0.00 10.15 870.8 Vx Vn 6 15 67.90 47.20 0.00 7.99 878.8 Vx Vn 6 16 68.30 49.40 0.00 8.90 887.7 Vx Vn 6 17 78.50 48.80 0.00 13.75 901.4 Vx Vn 6 18 67.30 53.50 0.00 10.40 911.8 Vx Vn 6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 12.42 924.2 Vx Vn 1st gen: 95% egg hatch, 2nd gen: 3% moth flight 6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 15.80 940.0 Vx Vn 6 21 79.80 58.50 0.00 19.15 959.2 Vx Vn 6 22 85.90 49.30 0.00 17.64 976.8 Vx Vn 6 23 81.50 61.80 0.00 21.65 998.5 Vx Vn 2nd generation: 5% moth flight 6 24 73.20 54.50 0.00 13.85 1012.3 Vx Vn 6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 16.65 1029.0 Vx Vn 6 26 91.60 52.50 0.00 21.58 1050.6 Vx Vn 6 27 93.50 60.40 0.00 25.98 1076.5 Vx Vn 6 28 95.30 66.60 0.00 29.34 1105.9 Vx Vn 6 29 94.50 65.30 0.00 28.57 1134.5 Vx Vn 6 30 90.60 65.90 0.00 27.89 1162.3 Vx Vn 2nd generation: 5% egg hatch, 18% moth flight 7 1 89.00 63.20 0.00 26.02 1188.4 Vx Vn 7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 26.32 1214.7 Vx Vn 7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 25.20 1239.9 Vx Vn 7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 19.05 1258.9 Vx Vn 7 5 78.20 55.40 0.00 16.80 1275.7 Vx Vn 7 6 80.70 59.50 0.00 20.10 1295.8 Vx Vn 7 7 81.60 60.50 0.00 21.05 1316.9 Vx Vn 7 8 77.80 61.50 0.00 19.65 1336.5 Vx Vn 7 9 78.00 58.30 0.00 18.15 1354.7 Vx Vn 7 10 69.70 59.00 0.00 14.35 1369.0 Vx Vn 7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 19.90 1388.9 Vx Vn 7 12 79.80 59.80 0.00 19.80 1408.7 Vx Vn 7 13 83.40 56.70 0.00 20.05 1428.8 Vx Vn 7 14 89.80 57.90 0.00 23.67 1452.4 Vx Vn 7 15 81.40 58.10 0.00 19.75 1472.2 Vx Vn 7 16 83.70 59.20 0.00 21.45 1493.6 Vx Vn 2nd generation: 30% egg hatch, 74% moth flight 7 17 88.10 58.00 0.00 23.05 1516.7 Vx Vn 7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 21.15 1537.8 Vx Vn 7 19 80.00 60.50 0.00 20.25 1558.1 Vx Vn 7 20 87.40 61.10 0.00 24.25 1582.3 Vx Vn 7 21 95.20 56.90 0.00 24.70 1607.0 Vx Vn 2nd generation: 50% egg hatch, 89% moth flight 7 22 83.00 64.60 0.00 23.80 1630.8 Vx Vn 7 23 84.10 59.50 0.00 21.80 1652.6 Vx Vn 7 24 90.40 55.10 0.00 22.48 1675.1 Vx Vn 7 25 96.90 60.00 0.00 26.55 1701.7 Vx Vn 7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 32.13 1733.8 Vx Vn 7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 30.64 1764.4 Vx Vn 7 28 99.40 68.80 0.00 31.02 1795.5 Vx Vn 2nd generation: 75% egg hatch, 96% moth flight 7 29 101.70 70.20 0.00 31.92 1827.4 Vx Vn 7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 31.66 1859.0 Vx Vn 7 31 86.90 62.40 0.00 24.65 1883.7 Vx Vn 8 1 90.90 57.00 0.00 23.59 1907.3 Vx Vn 8 2 78.60 62.60 0.00 20.60 1927.9 Vx Vn 8 3 84.00 54.30 0.00 19.15 1947.0 Vx Vn 2nd gen: 90% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 7% moth flight 8 4 92.90 55.00 0.00 23.19 1970.2 Vx Vn 8 5 94.20 62.30 0.00 27.07 1997.3 Vx Vn 8 6 87.80 63.70 0.00 25.75 2023.0 Vx Vn 8 7 82.70 61.30 0.00 22.00 2045.0 Vx Vn 8 8 76.50 53.60 0.00 15.05 2060.1 Vx Vn 8 9 74.60 57.00 0.00 15.80 2075.9 Vx Vn 8 10 84.30 56.00 0.00 20.15 2096.0 Vx Vn 8 11 90.30 57.60 0.00 23.69 2119.7 Vx Vn 8 12 95.70 61.30 0.00 26.92 2146.6 Vx Vn 2nd gen: 97% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 35% moth flight 8 13 97.70 65.40 0.00 29.22 2175.9 Vx Vn 8 14 95.60 69.90 0.00 30.94 2206.8 Vx Vn 3rd gen: 13% egg hatch, 56% moth flight 8 15 96.00 63.90 0.00 28.21 2235.0 Vx Vn 8 16 95.70 64.90 0.00 28.62 2263.6 Vx Vn 8 17 95.10 63.90 0.00 28.03 2291.7 Vx Vn 8 18 96.70 65.80 0.00 29.23 2320.9 Vx Vn 3rd gen: 56% egg hatch, 79% moth flight 8 19 90.60 64.00 0.00 26.95 2347.8 Vx Vn 8 20 94.40 55.40 0.00 23.78 2371.6 Vx Vn 8 21 94.10 66.80 0.00 29.20 2400.8 Vx Vn 8 22 79.60 56.90 0.00 18.25 2419.1 Vx Vn 8 23 82.80 54.60 0.00 18.70 2437.8 Vx Vn 8 24 87.00 53.90 0.00 20.45 2458.2 Vx Vn 8 25 89.50 53.00 0.00 21.12 2479.3 Vx Vn 8 26 91.50 56.30 0.00 23.43 2502.8 Vx Vn 8 27 90.80 68.80 0.00 29.37 2532.1 Vx Vn 8 28 89.20 60.30 0.00 24.65 2556.8 Vx Vn 8 29 94.40 57.70 0.00 24.89 2581.7 Vx Vn 8 30 82.20 62.60 0.00 22.40 2604.1 Vx Vn 8 31 83.20 59.40 0.00 21.30 2625.4 Vx Vn 9 1 79.00 59.60 0.00 19.30 2644.7 Vx Vn 9 2 74.90 55.30 0.00 15.10 2659.8 Vx Vn 9 3 72.90 53.00 0.00 12.95 2672.7 Vx Vn 9 4 74.30 46.80 0.00 11.02 2683.7 Vx Vn 9 5 74.70 50.70 0.00 12.70 2696.4 Vx Vn 9 6 65.60 56.30 0.00 10.95 2707.4 Vx Vn 9 7 77.40 57.40 0.00 17.40 2724.8 Vx Vn 9 8 78.10 55.70 0.00 16.90 2741.7 Vx Vn 9 9 78.70 46.90 0.00 13.21 2754.9 Vx Vn 9 10 89.00 51.50 0.00 20.18 2775.1 Vx Vn 9 11 75.70 51.00 0.00 13.35 2788.4 Vx Vn 9 12 73.20 43.70 0.00 9.71 2798.1 Vx Vn 9 13 72.50 43.10 0.00 9.25 2807.4 Vx Vn 9 14 78.70 47.40 0.00 13.37 2820.8 Vx Vn 9 15 83.20 53.60 0.00 18.40 2839.2 Vx Vn 9 16 87.70 53.70 0.00 20.70 2859.9 Vx Vn 9 17 72.20 62.40 0.00 17.30 2877.2 Vx Vn 9 18 72.40 59.80 0.00 16.10 2893.3 Vx Vn 9 19 68.10 57.20 0.00 12.65 2905.9 Vx Vn 9 20 68.90 48.50 0.00 8.87 2914.8 Vx Vn 9 21 67.30 45.50 0.00 7.29 2922.1 Vx Vn 9 22 57.80 43.80 0.00 2.64 2924.7 Vx Vn 9 23 67.60 52.10 0.00 9.85 2934.6 Vx Vn 9 24 70.50 52.50 0.00 11.50 2946.1 Vx Vn 9 25 82.60 50.00 0.00 16.30 2962.4 Vx Vn 9 26 83.00 50.30 0.00 16.65 2979.0 Vx Vn 9 27 84.00 59.40 0.00 21.70 3000.7 Vx Vn 9 28 76.80 50.60 0.00 13.70 3014.4 Vx Vn 9 29 79.10 50.50 0.00 14.80 3029.2 Vx Vn 9 30 74.30 54.60 0.00 14.45 3043.7 Vx Vn 10 1 70.50 48.60 0.00 9.70 3053.4 Vx Vn 10 2 67.20 39.30 0.00 6.19 3059.6 Vx Vn 10 3 68.10 48.10 0.00 8.35 3067.9 Vx Vn 10 4 66.60 47.80 0.00 7.52 3075.4 Vx Vn 10 5 64.60 49.70 0.00 7.17 3082.6 Vx Vn 10 6 66.30 51.30 0.00 8.80 3091.4 Vx Vn 10 7 64.00 56.10 0.00 10.05 3101.5 Vx Vn 10 8 72.50 50.40 0.00 11.45 3112.9 Vx Vn 10 9 66.20 53.90 0.00 10.05 3123.0 Vx Vn 10 10 60.50 43.90 0.00 3.84 3126.8 Vx Vn 10 11 58.90 38.00 0.00 2.59 3129.4 Vx Vn 10 12 57.90 30.80 0.00 1.87 3131.2 Vx Vn 10 13 61.00 42.40 0.00 3.86 3135.1 Vx Vn 10 14 68.00 52.90 0.00 10.45 3145.6 Vx Vn 10 15 61.40 50.50 0.00 5.95 3151.5 Vx Vn 10 16 64.70 51.40 0.00 8.05 3159.6 Vx Vn 10 17 61.80 48.80 0.00 5.46 3165.0 Vx Vn 10 18 59.10 48.30 0.00 3.99 3169.0 Vx Vn 10 19 65.60 43.40 0.00 6.08 3175.1 Vx Vn 10 20 68.10 56.60 0.00 12.35 3187.4 Vx Vn 10 21 55.50 51.30 0.00 3.40 3190.8 Vx Vn 10 22 61.60 43.80 0.00 4.31 3195.1 Vx Vn 10 23 56.10 42.40 0.00 1.82 3197.0 Vx Vn 10 24 49.60 36.00 0.00 0.00 3197.0 Vx Vn 10 25 65.40 48.60 0.00 7.17 3204.1 Vx Vn 10 26 56.60 52.70 0.00 4.65 3208.8 Vx Vn 10 27 55.70 50.60 0.00 3.15 3211.9 Vx Vn 10 28 53.80 40.80 0.00 0.90 3212.8 Vx Vn 10 29 48.90 43.70 0.00 0.00 3212.8 Vx Vn 10 30 49.30 44.50 0.00 0.00 3212.8 Vx Vn 10 31 56.80 47.40 0.00 2.70 3215.5 Vx Vn Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF25352 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
codling moth revised 07 model - Knight 2007
Location: 2016 MF25352 Davis Gawith Gala
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 5-2-16 2331st generation: 1% egg hatch, 29% moth flight
 5-12-16 3641st generation: 3% egg hatch, 58% moth flight
 5-21-16 4621st generation: 10% egg hatch, 83% moth flight
 5-28-16 5441st generation: 20% egg hatch, 91% moth flight
 6-4-16 6761st generation: 50% egg hatch, 97% moth flight
 6-7-16 7631st generation: 75% egg hatch, 99% moth flight
 6-19-16 9241st gen: 95% egg hatch, 2nd gen: 3% moth flight
 6-23-16 9982nd generation: 5% moth flight
 6-30-16 11622nd generation: 5% egg hatch, 18% moth flight
 7-16-16 14942nd generation: 30% egg hatch, 74% moth flight
 7-21-16 16072nd generation: 50% egg hatch, 89% moth flight
 7-28-16 17952nd generation: 75% egg hatch, 96% moth flight
 8-3-16 19472nd gen: 90% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 7% moth flight
 8-12-16 21472nd gen: 97% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 35% moth flight
 8-14-16 22073rd gen: 13% egg hatch, 56% moth flight
 8-18-16 23213rd gen: 56% egg hatch, 79% moth flight
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear] Knight 2007