Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
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codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear]
insect model of Knight 2007


Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear] Type: insect Model source/other links: Knight 2007 Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 88 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: first consistent capture of moths in pheromone traps Starting/BIOFIX date: 4 1 Ending date: 10 31 Model validation status: actively undergoing evaluation Region of known use: used in WA ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 220 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 1% egg hatch, 29% moth flight 2. 340 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 3% egg hatch, 58% moth flight 3. 460 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 10% egg hatch, 83% moth flight 4. 535 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 20% egg hatch, 91% moth flight 5. 655 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 50% egg hatch, 97% moth flight 6. 755 DDs after biofix: 1st generation: 75% egg hatch, 99% moth flight 7. 920 DDs after biofix: 1st gen: 95% egg hatch, 2nd gen: 3% moth flight 8. 980 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 5% moth flight 9. 1160 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 5% egg hatch, 18% moth flight 10. 1480 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 30% egg hatch, 74% moth flight 11. 1605 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 50% egg hatch, 89% moth flight 12. 1765 DDs after biofix: 2nd generation: 75% egg hatch, 96% moth flight 13. 1940 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen: 90% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 7% moth flight 14. 2120 DDs after biofix: 2nd gen: 97% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 35% moth flight 15. 2200 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen: 13% egg hatch, 56% moth flight 16. 2300 DDs after biofix: 3rd gen: 56% egg hatch, 79% moth flight ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF22754 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
codling moth revised 07 model - Knight 2007
Location: 5-11-22 223 1st generation: 1% egg hatch, 29% moth flight
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 6-6-22 5471st generation: 20% egg hatch, 91% moth flight
 6-14-22 6621st generation: 50% egg hatch, 97% moth flight
 6-21-22 7671st generation: 75% egg hatch, 99% moth flight
 6-29-22 9251st gen: 95% egg hatch, 2nd gen: 3% moth flight
 7-2-22 9972nd generation: 5% moth flight
 7-10-22 11852nd generation: 5% egg hatch, 18% moth flight
 7-23-22 14912nd generation: 30% egg hatch, 74% moth flight
 7-28-22 16082nd generation: 50% egg hatch, 89% moth flight
 8-4-22 17872nd generation: 75% egg hatch, 96% moth flight
 8-11-22 19592nd gen: 90% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 7% moth flight
 8-18-22 21302nd gen: 97% egg hatch, 3rd gen: 35% moth flight
 8-22-22 22203rd gen: 13% egg hatch, 56% moth flight
 8-27-22 23143rd gen: 56% egg hatch, 79% moth flight
degree-day graph of codling moth revised 07 [apple & pear] Knight 2007