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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: Jones et al 91,Song et al 2004
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 41 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
Starting/BIOFIX date: 3 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: in general use, revised June 2011
Region of known use: dev. in UT (Cache Co.), WA (Chelan Co.), and Mid-Columbia OR
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 864 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Hood River
2. 925 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - Mosier
3. 990 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - The Dalles
4. 1031 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5. 1066 DDs after biofix: First trap catch - WA
6. 1664 DDs after biofix: 50% trap catch - all locations
7. 3049 DDs after biofix: Last trap catch - all locations
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2016 MF25976 MILTON_FREEWATER_GROWERS Davis Nash Gala OR Lat:45.9667 Long:-118.4167 Elev:882
mn day max min precip DD41 CUMDD41 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
3 1 63.80 41.00 0.00 11.40 11.4 * START *Vx Vn
3 2 60.60 43.10 0.00 10.85 22.2 Vx Vn
3 3 64.30 44.50 0.00 13.40 35.6 Vx Vn
3 4 62.40 34.10 0.00 8.73 44.4 Vx Vn
3 5 66.10 49.60 0.00 16.85 61.2 Vx Vn
3 6 66.50 45.40 0.00 14.95 76.2 Vx Vn
3 7 56.60 42.70 0.00 8.65 84.8 Vx Vn
3 8 53.80 36.10 0.00 5.08 89.9 Vx Vn
3 9 58.30 43.00 0.00 9.65 99.6 Vx Vn
3 10 63.50 43.70 0.00 12.60 112.2 Vx Vn
3 11 47.90 34.90 0.00 2.27 114.4 Vx Vn
3 12 51.90 40.40 0.00 5.21 119.6 Vx Vn
3 13 60.00 37.80 0.00 8.42 128.1 Vx Vn
3 14 53.30 40.80 0.00 6.06 134.1 Vx Vn
3 15 51.60 40.60 0.00 5.13 139.3 Vx Vn
3 16 55.90 39.20 0.00 6.80 146.1 Vx Vn
3 17 54.90 33.50 0.00 5.16 151.2 Vx Vn
3 18 58.50 28.90 0.00 6.14 157.4 Vx Vn
3 19 62.80 34.50 0.00 9.00 166.4 Vx Vn
3 20 61.00 38.00 0.00 8.97 175.3 Vx Vn
3 21 64.10 43.20 0.00 12.65 188.0 Vx Vn
3 22 53.90 44.60 0.00 8.25 196.2 Vx Vn
3 23 60.10 45.20 0.00 11.65 207.9 Vx Vn
3 24 56.40 45.80 0.00 10.10 218.0 Vx Vn
3 25 56.10 39.90 0.00 7.12 225.1 Vx Vn
3 26 62.70 39.80 0.00 10.37 235.5 Vx Vn
3 27 57.20 42.00 0.00 8.60 244.1 Vx Vn
3 28 51.10 38.10 0.00 4.20 248.3 Vx Vn
3 29 61.90 35.70 0.00 8.83 257.1 Vx Vn
3 30 64.60 36.00 0.00 10.20 267.3 Vx Vn
3 31 71.80 47.40 0.00 18.60 285.9 Vx Vn
4 1 76.80 45.80 0.00 20.30 306.2 Vx Vn
4 2 76.90 53.70 0.00 24.30 330.5 Vx Vn
4 3 75.80 49.10 0.00 21.45 352.0 Vx Vn
4 4 62.00 41.60 0.00 10.80 362.8 Hx Hn
4 5 62.20 41.70 0.00 10.95 373.7 Hx Hn
4 6 62.30 41.80 0.00 11.05 384.8 Hx Hn
4 7 76.30 40.20 0.00 17.30 402.1 Vx Vn
4 8 62.70 42.00 0.00 11.35 413.4 Hx Hn
4 9 62.90 42.10 0.00 11.50 424.9 Hx Hn
4 10 74.50 50.70 0.00 21.60 446.5 Vx Vn
4 11 76.50 47.60 0.00 21.05 467.6 Vx Vn
4 12 67.50 51.20 0.00 18.35 485.9 Vx Vn
4 13 64.50 45.20 0.00 13.85 499.8 Vx Vn
4 14 63.30 44.60 0.00 12.95 512.7 Vx Vn
4 15 65.70 45.60 0.00 14.65 527.4 Vx Vn
4 16 71.10 39.50 0.00 14.44 541.8 Vx Vn
4 17 76.60 39.40 0.00 17.14 558.9 Vx Vn
4 18 80.00 42.80 0.00 20.40 579.3 Vx Vn
4 19 83.10 46.60 0.00 23.85 603.2 Vx Vn
4 20 85.70 45.50 0.00 24.60 627.8 Vx Vn
4 21 79.00 54.10 0.00 25.55 653.3 Vx Vn
4 22 77.30 54.80 0.00 25.05 678.4 Vx Vn
4 23 70.90 52.90 0.00 20.90 699.3 Vx Vn
4 24 66.20 48.20 0.00 16.20 715.5 Vx Vn
4 25 65.50 42.10 0.00 12.80 728.3 Vx Vn
4 26 66.50 43.00 0.00 13.75 742.0 Vx Vn
4 27 61.30 49.50 0.00 14.40 756.4 Vx Vn
4 28 71.30 50.10 0.00 19.70 776.1 Vx Vn
4 29 57.90 50.70 0.00 13.30 789.4 Vx Vn
4 30 68.50 47.90 0.00 17.20 806.6 Vx Vn
5 1 77.90 41.40 0.00 18.65 825.3 Vx Vn
5 2 85.00 47.20 0.00 25.10 850.4 Vx Vn
5 3 68.60 45.70 0.00 16.15 866.5 Hx Hn First trap catch - Hood River
5 4 68.90 45.90 0.00 16.40 882.9 Hx Hn
5 5 69.20 46.20 0.00 16.70 899.6 Hx Hn
5 6 77.60 53.40 0.00 24.50 924.1 Vx Vn
5 7 82.50 53.10 0.00 26.80 950.9 Vx Vn First trap catch - Mosier
5 8 77.60 54.50 0.00 25.05 976.0 Vx Vn
5 9 65.50 47.50 0.00 15.50 991.5 Vx Vn First trap catch - The Dalles
5 10 75.30 41.20 0.00 17.25 1008.7 Vx Vn
5 11 81.80 46.30 0.00 23.05 1031.8 Vx Vn First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater
5 12 86.00 63.10 0.00 33.55 1065.3 Vx Vn
5 13 83.10 48.40 0.00 24.75 1090.1 Vx Vn First trap catch - WA
5 14 67.90 54.40 0.00 20.15 1110.2 Vx Vn
5 15 58.70 52.30 0.00 14.50 1124.7 Vx Vn
5 16 72.00 52.40 0.00 21.20 1145.9 Vx Vn
5 17 79.00 50.10 0.00 23.55 1169.5 Vx Vn
5 18 83.50 56.50 0.00 29.00 1198.5 Vx Vn
5 19 67.00 49.90 0.00 17.45 1215.9 Vx Vn
5 20 62.30 42.10 0.00 11.20 1227.1 Vx Vn
5 21 64.30 48.20 0.00 15.25 1242.4 Vx Vn
5 22 67.90 52.50 0.00 19.20 1261.6 Vx Vn
5 23 70.30 52.00 0.00 20.15 1281.7 Vx Vn
5 24 73.00 52.00 0.00 21.50 1303.2 Vx Vn
5 25 78.50 51.70 0.00 24.10 1327.3 Vx Vn
5 26 70.50 53.70 0.00 21.10 1348.4 Vx Vn
5 27 67.50 50.80 0.00 18.15 1366.6 Vx Vn
5 28 75.40 49.10 0.00 21.25 1387.8 Vx Vn
5 29 78.50 55.30 0.00 25.90 1413.7 Vx Vn
5 30 76.30 49.30 0.00 21.80 1435.5 Vx Vn
5 31 84.80 47.20 0.00 25.00 1460.5 Vx Vn
6 1 85.30 54.00 0.00 28.65 1489.2 Vx Vn
6 2 76.90 64.20 0.00 29.55 1518.7 Vx Vn
6 3 86.80 59.00 0.00 31.90 1550.6 Vx Vn
6 4 94.10 54.10 0.00 33.10 1583.7 Vx Vn
6 5 95.50 59.00 0.00 36.25 1620.0 Vx Vn
6 6 99.40 67.30 0.00 42.35 1662.3 Vx Vn
6 7 98.30 69.00 0.00 42.65 1705.0 Vx Vn 50% trap catch - all locations
6 8 86.00 64.60 0.00 34.30 1739.3 Vx Vn
6 9 78.20 58.30 0.00 27.25 1766.5 Vx Vn
6 10 70.00 54.40 0.00 21.20 1787.7 Vx Vn
6 11 72.10 50.00 0.00 20.05 1807.8 Vx Vn
6 12 78.60 49.20 0.00 22.90 1830.7 Vx Vn
6 13 74.90 58.40 0.00 25.65 1856.3 Vx Vn
6 14 68.70 51.60 0.00 19.15 1875.5 Vx Vn
6 15 68.10 47.90 0.00 17.00 1892.5 Vx Vn
6 16 68.30 49.10 0.00 17.70 1910.2 Vx Vn
6 17 80.20 48.80 0.00 23.50 1933.7 Vx Vn
6 18 67.30 53.40 0.00 19.35 1953.0 Vx Vn
6 19 77.20 46.70 0.00 20.95 1974.0 Vx Vn
6 20 81.50 50.10 0.00 24.80 1998.8 Vx Vn
6 21 79.80 57.90 0.00 27.85 2026.6 Vx Vn
6 22 85.70 48.70 0.00 26.20 2052.8 Vx Vn
6 23 81.50 62.30 0.00 30.90 2083.7 Vx Vn
6 24 73.80 54.40 0.00 23.10 2106.8 Vx Vn
6 25 81.50 51.80 0.00 25.65 2132.5 Vx Vn
6 26 91.50 52.50 0.00 31.00 2163.5 Vx Vn
6 27 93.50 60.40 0.00 35.95 2199.4 Vx Vn
6 28 95.20 66.60 0.00 39.90 2239.3 Vx Vn
6 29 94.50 65.10 0.00 38.80 2278.1 Vx Vn
6 30 90.40 65.80 0.00 37.10 2315.2 Vx Vn
7 1 89.00 63.20 0.00 35.10 2350.3 Vx Vn
7 2 90.00 63.10 0.00 35.55 2385.9 Vx Vn
7 3 85.60 64.80 0.00 34.20 2420.1 Vx Vn
7 4 80.50 57.60 0.00 28.05 2448.1 Vx Vn
7 5 78.40 55.40 0.00 25.90 2474.0 Vx Vn
7 6 81.20 59.60 0.00 29.40 2503.4 Vx Vn
7 7 81.60 60.50 0.00 30.05 2533.5 Vx Vn
7 8 77.80 61.50 0.00 28.65 2562.1 Vx Vn
7 9 78.00 58.30 0.00 27.15 2589.3 Vx Vn
7 10 69.80 59.00 0.00 23.40 2612.7 Vx Vn
7 11 80.80 59.00 0.00 28.90 2641.6 Vx Vn
7 12 79.80 59.80 0.00 28.80 2670.4 Vx Vn
7 13 83.40 56.70 0.00 29.05 2699.4 Vx Vn
7 14 89.80 57.90 0.00 32.85 2732.3 Vx Vn
7 15 81.40 57.90 0.00 28.65 2760.9 Vx Vn
7 16 83.70 59.20 0.00 30.45 2791.4 Vx Vn
7 17 88.00 58.00 0.00 32.00 2823.4 Vx Vn
7 18 80.80 61.50 0.00 30.15 2853.5 Vx Vn
7 19 79.70 60.40 0.00 29.05 2882.6 Vx Vn
7 20 87.40 61.10 0.00 33.25 2915.8 Vx Vn
7 21 95.20 57.00 0.00 35.10 2950.9 Vx Vn
7 22 83.00 64.70 0.00 32.85 2983.8 Vx Vn
7 23 84.10 59.00 0.00 30.55 3014.3 Vx Vn
7 24 90.20 54.50 0.00 31.35 3045.7 Vx Vn
7 25 96.90 59.80 0.00 37.35 3083.0 Vx Vn Last trap catch - all locations
7 26 95.90 72.40 0.00 43.15 3126.2 Vx Vn
7 27 95.20 69.40 0.00 41.30 3167.5 Vx Vn
7 28 99.40 68.80 0.00 43.10 3210.6 Vx Vn
7 29 101.70 70.20 0.00 44.95 3255.5 Vx Vn
7 30 94.70 71.80 0.00 42.25 3297.8 Vx Vn
7 31 86.90 62.50 0.00 33.70 3331.5 Vx Vn
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 MF25976 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
w. cherry fruit fly v2 model - Jones et al 91Location: 2016 MF25976 Davis Nash Gala Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 5-3-16 | 867 | First trap catch - Hood River |
| 5-7-16 | 951 | First trap catch - Mosier |
| 5-9-16 | 991 | First trap catch - The Dalles |
| 5-11-16 | 1032 | First trap catch - ID and Milton-Freewater |
| 5-13-16 | 1090 | First trap catch - WA |
| 6-7-16 | 1705 | 50% trap catch - all locations |
| 7-25-16 | 3083 | Last trap catch - all locations |
![degree-day graph of w. cherry fruit fly v2 [cherry E. of Cascades] Jones et al 91](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?1574322)
